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Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up

Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up 2
Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up 2

On November 3, 2021, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense suddenly accused about 90,000 Russian soldiers of gathering in an area about 260 km from the Ukrainian border.

Russia’s move to concentrate troops took place in the context of Moscow applying a tougher policy towards Kiev.

Tent of a Russian unit in Smolensk province, more than 200 km from the Ukrainian border, on November 1.

A week later, NATO on November 10, 2021 warned Russia about `aggressive behavior` after the US discovered `unusual mobilizations of troops and equipment` by the Russian army near the border with Ukraine.

President Putin then accused the West of providing modern weapons to Ukraine and conducting military exercises that `provoked Russia`.

Ukraine on November 28, 2021 said that Russia would launch an all-out attack with 92,000 troops in late January or early February. Russia denied the information and asserted that it has the right to deploy troops anywhere in its territory.

In early December 2021, Russia accused Ukraine of concentrating forces in the separatist-controlled area in the east, and asked NATO to provide a legally binding guarantee that Ukraine would never be admitted.

Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up

Russian T-72B3 tank during exercises at the Kadamovsky training ground in Rostov province in December 2021.

During an online conversation on December 7, 2021, US President Joe Biden warned of `strong economic blows and other measures` if Putin launched a campaign to attack Ukraine.

On December 16, 2021, the European Union (EU) and NATO warned of `huge strategic consequences if Russia launches an attack against the territorial integrity of Ukraine`.

One day later, Russia announced an 8-point security proposal to the US and NATO, including a request that NATO withdraw troops from member countries that joined the alliance after 1997 and not admit Ukraine to the bloc.

The United States and Russia on December 28, 2021 announced to hold negotiations on European security to reduce tensions surrounding the Ukraine issue.

EU High Commissioner for Foreign Affairs and Security Josep Borrell on January 5 pledged full support for Ukraine.

Top officials from the US, Russia and NATO began a week of intense talks in Geneva, Switzerland from January 10, but failed to achieve a breakthrough due to disagreements.

On January 14, Ukraine suffered a cyber attack that caused important government websites to crash.

Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up

Ukrainian soldiers prepare to cross the Aidar River during an exercise near Novoaidar, Luhansk province on December 14, 2021.

On January 7, the Russian army began to be deployed to Belarus to participate in lightning exercises that Moscow said were `aimed at countering aggressive behavior from outside`.

President Biden made an `accidental` statement on January 19 when he said that NATO would be confused and not know how to react if Russia conducted a `small intrusion` into Ukraine.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on January 21 that he asked his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov to prove that the country has no plans to invade Ukraine.

On the same day, former Soviet NATO members Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania announced they would send anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles to Ukraine for self-defense, after receiving the green light from the US.

Russia warned of `the most serious consequences` if the US continues to ignore the country’s legitimate security concerns surrounding the Ukraine issue.

British officials on January 22 accused Russia of `seeking to bring pro-Moscow leaders to power in Kiev` and planning an attack.

Three months of the Russia-Ukraine fire heating up

Russia deploys troops around Ukraine.

The US Embassy in Ukraine on January 23 asked the families of diplomatic staff in Kiev to leave the Eastern European country `due to the continued threat of an invasion`, and warned citizens not to

NATO allies put their forces on readiness and sent fighters and warships to Eastern Europe to strengthen defense.

However, Jeff Hawn, an expert at the London School of Political Science and Economics, said that despite recent drastic moves, both sides are leaving the door open to diplomatic solutions and a war does not necessarily need to happen.

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